7,800–15,200
Forecast Chinese millionaire outflow 2025 (Henley)
52%
Mainland Chinese share of MM2H 2024+ applicants
US$50K
Individual annual FX quota
2026-04-14
Last verified
This guide is written for people with mainland Chinese citizenship or residency who are actively evaluating where to move — not reading about the topic in the abstract. It is organised around the actual decision variables: capital control, visa pathway, family structure, tax exposure, school fit, healthcare, timeline. Every time-sensitive claim is dated. Every source is cited.
The headline facts for 2026 are simple. Henley & Partners’ Private Wealth Migration Report 2025 forecasts a net outflow of 7,800 to 15,200 Chinese millionaires for the year (figures vary by release and methodology). But the mass-market picture is more interesting: Malaysia’s MM2Hprogramme, relaunched in June 2024, has drawn 7,600 mainland Chinese applicants — 52% of the 14,535 total. China is the single largest sending country for foreign students in Japan, where the foreign-resident count set a record of 435,200 as of June 2025. Thailand’s Long-Term Resident visa eased its eligibility rules on January 13, 2025.
The counterpoint is equally important. Canada extended its foreign residential property buyer ban through January 1, 2027. Australia banned foreign purchase of established residential properties from April 1, 2025 through March 31, 2027. Singapore raised its Global Investor Programme family-office threshold to S$50 million on February 21, 2025. The United States EB-5 unreserved category for China has a final action date of October 2016 — a nine-year-plus backlog. Japan tightened its Business Manager visa on October 16, 2025, raising minimum capital from ¥5 million to ¥30 million.
The rest of this article maps those facts to concrete user segments, with side-by-side comparisons, visa requirements, and the capital-movement and schooling constraints that shape real decisions for Chinese families.
Compare countries side by side
Cost, healthcare, safety, visa access, and tax — pick any two of the destinations below
Compare destinations side by sideStart here: which user are you?
The same destination can be excellent for one family and useless for another. Jump to the segment that matches your situation.
- HNWI & entrepreneurs — capital to deploy, global mobility a priority, willing to tolerate complex tax planning. Top picks: UAE, Singapore (if capital clears S$50M), Hungary, UK Innovator Founder, selective US EB-5 Rural.
- Middle-class families — mid-range capital (US$150K–1M), school fit matters, want visible path to residency. Top picks: Malaysia MM2H, Thailand LTR, Portugal D7/D8, Japan Highly Skilled Professional.
- Salaried professionals / tech workers — employment-driven move, fast PR preferred, limited liquid capital. Top picks: Japan HSP (1 year to PR at 80 points), Singapore EP→PR, UK Skilled Worker, Netherlands DAFT equivalents via employer sponsorship.
- Student parents — school-led migration, often willing to trade cost or climate for education quality. Top picks: Japan (Tokyo/Osaka), Singapore, Malaysia (KL), Thailand (Bangkok), UAE (Dubai).
- Retirees — healthcare quality and year-round affordability dominant. Top picks: Malaysia MM2H Silver tier, Thailand LTR Wealthy Pensioner, Portugal D7.
| Metric | 🇦🇪 HNWI / Entrepreneur | 🇲🇾 Middle-class family |
|---|---|---|
| Best destination | UAE (Golden Visa) | Malaysia (MM2H) |
| Minimum capital | AED 2M property (~US$550K) | US$150K fixed deposit (Silver tier) |
| Residency term | 10 years, renewable | 5 years, renewable |
| Income tax | Zero personal income tax | 0–30% (progressive) |
| Property purchase | Yes, freely | RM600K minimum (Silver) |
| Capital-control friction | High (lump-sum) | Moderate (local financing available) |
| Winner for HNWI | ✓ | — |
| Winner for family | — | ✓ |
The capital-controls constraint — read this first
No Chinese-origin relocation decision is complete without a capital-movement plan. The People’s Bank of China and SAFE enforce an individual FX quota of US$50,000 per person per year. The annual application explicitly bans the declared use of funds for overseas property, securities, or dividend-paying insurance.
Effective January 1, 2026, new KYC/AML rules issued on October 31, 2025 require expanded identity verification on transfers above RMB 5,000 or US$1,000 and extend bank record retention from 5 years to 10 years. This does not reduce the quota — it reduces the informality of operating below it.
The practical implications for destination choice:
- Markets that unlock local financing after residency (Japan Business Manager, MM2H property mortgages, UAE installment schemes) are structurally easier to fund than lump-sum markets.
- Household pooling of the US$50K quota across spouses and adult children multiplies capacity, but each declaration must stand on its own.
- Mainlanders with Hong Kong permanent residency, or existing offshore business income, have materially easier capital mobility than those operating purely from RMB.
- Staged transfers over two to three tax years are normal for serious relocation. Rushed lump-sum movement is the thing that triggers scrutiny.
A full walkthrough is in the China capital-controls relocation guide.
1. UAE — the current HNWI default
The UAE is the world’s leading destination for HNWI inflow in 2025, with Henley forecasting +9,800 net relocating millionaires — roughly 2,000 more than the United States in second place. The UAE has approximately 130,500 resident millionaires and has seen a 98% surge in its millionaire population over the past decade.
Route: 10-year Golden Visa for property investors. Minimum threshold is AED 2 million (approximately US$550,000) in property. Separately available for investors, entrepreneurs, specialised talent, humanitarian roles, and outstanding students.
Tax reality: Zero personal income tax, zero capital-gains tax, no inheritance tax, no wealth tax. Corporate tax of 9% applies above AED 375,000 of taxable profit (effective June 2023). VAT of 5%. This is the tax picture that most HNWI Chinese move for.
Schools: Dubai alone has more than 200 international schools, with British, American, IB, French, Indian, and International Baccalaureate curricula all represented. Explore Dubai international schools.
Honest caveats: Climate (40–45°C summers), air quality, full-contract labour market, and a political system without Western-style property rights or due process. Dubai is an intensely transactional city; it rewards energy and clarity about what you are there to do. The UAE Golden Visa does not grant citizenship or a path to it in normal circumstances.
Dive deeper: Complete guide to moving to Dubai.
2. Malaysia — the middle-class winner via MM2H
The single biggest 2024 story in Chinese outbound relocation is Malaysia. The MM2H programme, relaunched in June 2024 with a three-tier structure (Silver / Gold / Platinum), has logged 14,535 applications — of which 7,600 are from mainland Chinese nationals, 52% of the total. Chinese nationals alone accounted for 304 MM2H-linked property purchases (41% of all MM2H transactions).
Tiers:
- Silver — fixed deposit US$150,000, minimum property RM600,000
- Gold — fixed deposit US$500,000, minimum property RM1 million
- Platinum — fixed deposit US$1 million, minimum property RM2 million
Residency term: 5 years, renewable. Family: spouse, children, parents covered under the same visa. Work: employment not permitted on MM2H itself, but remote income and passive income are fine. This is the main reason professional Chinese families with offshore business income find it attractive.
Schools: Kuala Lumpur has a mature international school ecosystem at 30–60% the cost of Singapore equivalents. Explore Kuala Lumpur international schools.
Detailed walkthrough: Malaysia MM2H for Chinese families 2026 covers tier selection, property rules, tax, Sabah’s regional variant, and the hidden cost structure.
3. Japan — professionals win on HSP, entrepreneurs face a new bar
Japan is simultaneously opening and closing. On one hand, the foreign-resident count hit an all-time high of 435,200 (+8.2% year-over-year as of June 2025), with mainland China the number one sending country. Projections suggest roughly one million people of Chinese descent living in Japan by 2026. On the other hand, the Business Manager visa — the traditional entrepreneurial route — was substantially tightened on October 16, 2025.
Business Manager visa (after October 16, 2025):
- Minimum paid-in capital raised from ¥5 million to ¥30 million (six-fold)
- At least one full-time Japanese citizen or PR employee required
- Three years of management experience or a master’s degree
- Japanese language proficiency expectations strengthened
This is a material reset. The cleaner route for most Chinese professionals is now the Highly Skilled Professional (HSP) visa: a points-based system offering permanent residency in three years at 70 points, or just one year at 80 points. HSP also lets a spouse work without restriction — unusual among Japan’s visa categories.
Schools: Tokyo and Osaka have deep international school inventories, and Japanese public school is a viable option for children who arrive young. See Tokyo international schools and Osaka international schools.
Dive deeper: Japan Business Manager visa reform for Chinese entrepreneurs and Complete guide to moving to Japan.
4. Thailand — the eased mid-tier gateway
Thailand’s Long-Term Resident visa was updated on January 13, 2025, with the Cabinet removing the five-year work-experience requirement for Highly Skilled Professionals and removing the income requirement for the Wealthy Global Citizen category. For Chinese applicants this significantly broadens access. By end of 2024, Thailand had granted over 6,000 LTR visas, with China the fourth-largest source at 340 recipients (after Europe, the United States, and Japan).
LTR categories available to Chinese:
- Wealthy Global Citizen — US$1M in assets, US$80K annual income (income requirement removed January 13, 2025)
- Wealthy Pensioner — 50+, US$80K annual income
- Work-from-Thailand Professional — remote worker with US$80K income
- Highly Skilled Professional — target Thai industries, 5-year work-experience requirement removed
Benefits: 10-year renewable visa, 17% flat tax for Highly Skilled Professionals, digital work permit, fast-track immigration, no 90-day reporting. Minor children included. Chinese retirees in Thailand have grown from 1,027 (2012) to 5,864 (2019) and are expected to re-accelerate on the new rules.
Property: Foreigners cannot own land directly but can own condominium units outright (subject to a 49% foreign-ownership cap per building).
Dive deeper: Complete guide to moving to Thailand and Buying property in Thailand 2026.
5. Singapore — HNWI-only, and raised the bar
Singapore remains the single most prestigious Asian destination, but the door for capital-led migration narrowed materially in 2025.
- Global Investor Programme (GIP) — from February 21, 2025, family-office applicants must invest at least S$50 million into equities listed on approved Singapore exchanges (REITs and Business Trusts excluded).
- Employment Pass (EP) — the primary path for professionals. Minimum salary S$5,600/month (S$6,200 for financial services; higher at senior levels).
- Permanent Residency — typically possible 2–3 years after EP if the government assesses rootedness, with citizenship available after a further 2+ years.
Singapore grants roughly 22,766 citizenships and 35,000+ permanent residences a year (2024 data), with targets rising to ~40,000 PR per year over the next five years. Mainland Chinese remain meaningful in the EP-to-PR pipeline but are not the dominant cohort the way they are in Malaysia.
Dive deeper: Complete guide to moving to Singapore and Singapore international schools.
6. Hungary — the new EU Golden Visa entry point
Hungary relaunched its Guest Investor / Golden Visa programme on July 1, 2024. Non-EU/EEA citizens — including Chinese — can qualify via a €250,000 investment in approved real estate funds, or a donation to a higher-education institution. A direct-real- estate route at €500,000 was abolished on January 15, 2025, leaving the funds and donation routes in place.
Residence permit:10 years, renewable once for another 10 years. Grants work and residence rights in Hungary and Schengen mobility (90 days within any 180). This is currently the cheapest EU investor residency path open to Chinese applicants given Portugal’s removal of real-estate from its Golden Visa in 2023 and Spain’s closure of its Golden Visa in April 2025.
Citizenship: Hungary does not offer a fast-track to citizenship through the Golden Visa. Naturalisation requires eight years of residence with language and integration testing.
Dive deeper: Hungary Golden Visa guide.
7. Portugal — tightened, still relevant for D7/D8 families
Portugal removed real estate from its Golden Visa programme in October 2023 and ended the Non-Habitual Resident (NHR) tax regime for most new applicants on January 1, 2024. On October 28, 2025, Portugal’s parliament approved an increase in the residency requirement for citizenship from 5 years to 10 years (7 for CPLP nationals and EU citizens). The IFICI tax regime replaced NHR.
The Golden Visa still exists via fund investment (minimum €500,000), job creation, or cultural donation. The more common Chinese family route today is the D7 (passive income) or D8 (digital nomad) visa:
- D7 — minimum income €870/month from January 2025 (up from €820). Good for retirees or remote-income households.
- D8 — minimum €3,480/month remote income (approximately 4x minimum wage). Good for location-independent professionals.
Dive deeper: Complete guide to moving to Portugal and the Spain Golden Visa closure & alternatives for Spain-specific replacement routes.
8. United Kingdom — skilled-worker route, BN(O) not applicable
The BN(O) visa is for holders of British National (Overseas) status — almost exclusively residents of Hong Kong. Mainland Chinese citizens without BN(O) status cannot use this route; see the Hong Kong diaspora decision guide and leaving Hong Kong hub for that path.
For mainland Chinese the UK pathway is typically the Skilled Worker visa, Global Talent visa, or Innovator Founder visa (minimum £50,000 investment from a qualifying endorsing body since April 2023). PR is available after 5 years. Citizenship one year after PR, subject to absences.
Dive deeper: UK expat landscape (reverse-angle, still useful for cost and tax context).
9. Canada — narrow door, study-permit route weakening
Canada’s foreign residential property buyer ban was extended on February 4, 2024 through January 1, 2027. The ban covers residential properties in Census Metropolitan Areas and Census Agglomerations — i.e. the cities most Chinese buyers want. Bloomberg reported on December 22, 2025 that Canada is considering easing the ban in 2027.
China was the #1 source of Canadian international students until 2017; it dropped to #3 in 2024. The study-permit route as a Canadian-PR pipeline is weakening — Canada is reducing international-student intake as a population-policy tool.
Currently viable routes for mainland Chinese: Express Entry (skilled worker), Provincial Nominee Programs, Start-Up Visa, Self-Employed Persons. Quebec investor / Quebec skilled pathways have their own cycles and quotas.
Dive deeper: Complete guide to moving to Canada.
10. Australia — foreign property purchase is closed, skilled visas open
From April 1, 2025 through March 31, 2027, foreign investors cannot purchase established residential dwellings in Australia. New-build purchases remain permitted subject to Foreign Investment Review Board approval.
Context: as of 2024, mainland Chinese nationals accounted for 67% of all foreign-owned Australian homes (23,550 of roughly 40,000 registered). Including HK-linked ownership, the figure passes 27,000 properties. However, foreign buyers already preferred new builds (23,147 new vs 8,463 established between July 2016 and June 2024), so the established-dwelling ban’s market impact is narrower than the headlines suggest.
For migration, skilled visas (subclass 189 / 190 / 491) and the business-innovation-and-investment stream remain open.
Dive deeper: Complete guide to moving to Australia.
11. United States — EB-5 China backlog is a 9+ year wait
The EB-5 immigrant investor visa’s unreserved category final action date for China is September 22, 2016 per the May 2026 Visa Bulletin (filing date March 1, 2017) as of the August 2025 Visa Bulletin — a nine-plus-year queue. The three reserved set-aside categories (Rural, High Unemployment, Infrastructure) were current in 2024 and early 2025, but pipeline demand from new Chinese and Indian investors has been rising sharply, with analysts projecting 2025 Rural and High Unemployment applicants from China and India not receiving visas until 2029 to the early 2030s.
EB-5 minimum investment: US$800,000 for rural / high-unemployment / infrastructure projects; US$1,050,000 for standard. Job-creation requirement (10 US jobs per investor).
For professionals, the H-1B lottery remains the dominant skilled route, with EB-2 / EB-3 employment-based green card pathways subject to per-country caps that disadvantage China and India.
Dive deeper: the global investor visa landscape compares EB-5 to non-US alternatives.
How school fit shapes the decision
For Chinese families with school-age children, the school decision often precedes the visa decision. Our database covers 4,149 international schools across 342 cities. The six markets that absorb the bulk of Chinese-family demand today are:
- Tokyo — deep IB, American, British, and K-12 Japanese curricula
- Osaka — lower cost than Tokyo, growing international inventory
- Singapore — highest prestige, highest cost, competitive admissions
- Kuala Lumpur — strongest price-quality ratio in the region
- Bangkok — broad inventory, especially Thai-IB hybrid
- Dubai — the fastest-growing international-school market
Ready to take the next step?
Compare international schools across destinationsWhat about Hong Kong and Taiwan?
For Hong Kong residents and the BN(O) / Canada Stream / Taiwan Gold Card decision, see the dedicated leaving Hong Kong hub and the HK diaspora decision guide. Those routes are legally distinct and the decision variables (settlement timing, BN(O) naturalisation window, Canada backlog risk) are different from mainland Chinese emigration.
Taiwan is worth noting both as a destination (the Gold Card for skilled professionals has a special HK/Macau fee of NT$3,100) and as a reverse source (Taiwanese emigration to the US, Canada, Japan, and Australia continues). Mainland Chinese citizens face their own cross-strait complexities; that route is not a general relocation path.
Timeline & risk map
A realistic timeline from decision to settled residency in your new country, assuming clean paperwork and no surprises:
| Metric | 🇦🇪 Fastest routes | 🇺🇸 Longest routes |
|---|---|---|
| UAE Golden Visa | 2–4 months | — |
| Thailand LTR | 3–6 months | — |
| Malaysia MM2H | 4–6 months | — |
| Japan HSP (to entry) | 2–4 months | — |
| Hungary Golden Visa | 4–8 months | — |
| Portugal D7/D8 to arrival | 4–8 months | — |
| Singapore EP to arrival | 4–8 weeks | — |
| Canada Express Entry | — | 6–12 months post-invitation |
| Australia 189 skilled | — | 9–18 months |
| US EB-5 China unreserved | — | 9+ years (backlog) |
| UK Skilled Worker to PR | — | 5 years residence + 1 year to citizenship |
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Verification and last review
This article was verified on April 14, 2026. Key time-sensitive claims and their sources:
- Malaysia MM2H Chinese applicant share (52%): CEOWorld (Feb 2026), based on Ministry of Tourism data through early 2026.
- Japan Business Manager visa reform (Oct 16, 2025): Ministry of Justice ministerial ordinance; KPMG GMS Flash Alert 2025-195.
- Thailand LTR rule change (Jan 13, 2025): Thailand Board of Investment; Silk Legal.
- Singapore GIP S$50M threshold (Feb 21, 2025): Economic Development Board; Fragomen.
- Hungary Golden Visa relaunch (Jul 1, 2024) & real-estate pathway abolition (Jan 15, 2025): Fragomen; Hungarian Investment Promotion Agency.
- Portugal citizenship residency increase (Oct 28, 2025): Parliamentary Decree 32/XVI; Global Citizen Solutions.
- Australia foreign buyer ban (Apr 1, 2025 – Mar 31, 2027): Australian Taxation Office; Foreign Investment Review Board.
- Canada foreign buyer ban extension (to Jan 1, 2027): Department of Finance Canada announcement, Feb 4, 2024.
- US EB-5 China final action date (September 22, 2016): USCIS August 2025 Visa Bulletin.
- China capital controls / Jan 1 2026 KYC tightening: PBOC / CBIRC / CSRC joint circular, Oct 31, 2025.
- Henley Private Wealth Migration Report 2025: China forecast outflow 7,800–15,200 (varies by release); UAE inflow +9,800.
Where figures are not government-issued statistics — including Henley’s millionaire-migration numbers — we present them as forecasts rather than confirmed data. Tax Policy UK (July 2025) has publicly challenged Henley’s methodology. Treat the forecasts as directional.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the single easiest country for a mainland Chinese family to move to in 2026?▾
Malaysia via the MM2H Silver tier (US$150,000 fixed deposit, RM600,000 property, 5-year renewable residency). Chinese applicants are the single largest cohort — 52% of all MM2H applications since the June 2024 relaunch. Low friction, clear family coverage, reasonable school inventory in KL, no exit-tax shock.
Is Singapore still realistic without S$50 million?▾
Yes, via the Employment Pass route rather than the GIP. Mainland Chinese professionals with Singapore job offers at S$5,600+/month qualify for EP, which typically leads to PR after 2–3 years if rootedness criteria are met. GIP (the investor route) is effectively closed below S$50M since February 21, 2025.
How does Japan compare to Singapore for Chinese professionals?▾
Japan's Highly Skilled Professional visa offers permanent residency in 1 year at 80 points or 3 years at 70 points — faster than Singapore's typical 2–3 year EP-to-PR timeline. Japan has lower cost of living in Tokyo than Singapore, a much deeper labour market, and no S$50M capital barrier. Singapore has higher average salaries, a more international business environment, and English as a working language. The newer Business Manager visa reform (Oct 16, 2025 — ¥30M capital) has closed the entrepreneurial route; HSP is the main play.
Can mainland Chinese use the BN(O) visa?▾
No. BN(O) status is almost exclusively held by pre-1997 Hong Kong residents and their eligible family members. Mainland Chinese citizens without BN(O) status cannot apply. For mainlanders, the UK's viable routes are the Skilled Worker visa, Global Talent visa, Innovator Founder visa (£50,000 minimum), or student-to-Graduate-route conversion.
What about Taiwan?▾
Taiwan's Gold Card works for skilled professionals in 12 designated fields; it is a 4-in-1 combined visa/work-permit/residence-certificate. It is primarily used by Hongkongers (special HK/Macau fee NT$3,100), not mainland Chinese. Mainland Chinese citizens face cross-strait complexities that this article does not cover.
Should I move assets before or after relocation?▾
Most financial advisors recommend staged transfers over 2–3 tax years combined with establishing residency in the destination first, then financing further asset movement from that residency base. Lump-sum transfers at the time of application attract scrutiny. The capital-controls relocation guide walks through specifics: household pooling of the US$50K quota, use of Hong Kong intermediate accounts if available, QDII/QDLP channels, and timing relative to the January 1, 2026 KYC tightening.
Does China have an exit tax?▾
China does not have a US-style expatriation tax. It does have worldwide-income taxation for tax residents (183 days/year presence), so the tax move is typically shifting tax residency, not renouncing citizenship. This is distinct from the US regime where citizens are taxed worldwide regardless of residence. Consult a qualified tax adviser — this is outside the scope of a general relocation guide.
Can children of Chinese emigrants attend public schools abroad?▾
Yes in most destinations — public schools typically admit children of residents regardless of parental visa category. Quality varies. In Japan, Singapore, and Canada, public schools are often genuinely good. In Thailand and Malaysia, international schools are the near-universal choice for Chinese families. In Dubai, public schools are primarily for Emirati nationals, so international schools dominate the expat market.
Related reading
- Leaving China hub — the full vertical
- What is 润学 (runxue)? — context on the cultural backdrop
- China capital-controls relocation guide
- Malaysia MM2H for Chinese families 2026
- Japan Business Manager visa 2025 reform
- Leaving Hong Kong hub (separate audience)
- Hong Kong diaspora decision guide